In the case of... let's say "rare".... dials coming from respected collectors like the above Monaco, I take the position that such pieces should only be purchased by the absolute crux of collectors, those with inside connections to the heritage departments or museum curators of the brands they purchase. Such collectors are likely to be able to not only verify the watch from as close a source as is available (again like you say, they are not always the most reliable) but also tend to be in such financial positions as to be able to write off a bad purchase without it significantly affecting their lives.
For the average collector though, I think it's better to pay a premium for a "run of the mill" regular version of any vintage watch (i.e. commonly accepted to have been produced by the marque at the time), so that the likelihood of a "prototype" actually being fake is lessened.
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